CDC expecting up to 450,000 deaths in USA from Swine Flu

CDC is now estimating that the novel H1N1 virus will be “Category 2” in severity.
They are closely watching the situation in the Southern Hemisphere for validation of this estimate.
*A category 2 pandemic has the following characteristics:

****Case fatality ratio of 0.1 percent to less than 0.5 percent.

****Between 90,000 and 450,000 deaths in the U.S. (compared with estimated 36,000 deaths during a typical influenza season).

****Excess death rate of between 30 to less than 150 per 100,000 people.

****Illness rate of between 20 and 40 percent.

See Document: http://health.utah.gov/epi/h1n1flu/sitrep062409.pdf

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